11TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Bennett, Petts, & Normington for Progress Illinois. 10/15-16. Likely voters. MoE 4.9%:
Debbie Halvorson (D): 50%
Martin Ozinga (R): 29%
Undecided: 22%
The 11th Congressional District poll conducted for Progress Illinois by the Washington D.C.-based polling firm Bennett, Petts & Normington found a 21-point lead for Democrat Debbie Halvorson, similar to the 19-point gap in the internal poll she released on Friday (which included Green Party candidate Jason Wallace).
Republican Marty Ozinga's unfavorables (30%) continue to outweigh his favorables (20%), which certainly spells trouble. Independents made up 42 percent of the polling universe in our poll and they also appear extremely wary of Ozinga, with only 14 percent saying they support him and 41 percent still on the fence.
While Barack Obama posted an 11-point lead in the district, an identical number of independents remain undecided on the presidential race.
Gov. Rod Blagojevich's numbers mirror those in our 10th District poll, with only 10 percent holding a favorable view of him. Meanwhile, 38 percent of respondents were unaware of the constitutional convention question on the Illinois ballot this year. Of those aware, 29 percent supported the idea of holding a Con-Con and 44 percent opposed it.
More detail here.
10TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Bennett, Petts, & Normington for Progress Illinois. 10/15-16. Likely voters. MoE 4.9%:
Dan Seals (D): 41%
Mark Kirk (R): 47%
Undecided: 12%
In the middle of last week, the Washington D.C.-based polling firm Bennett, Petts & Normington conducted the above survey for Progress Illinois in the 10th Congressional District. The results are very similar to the Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll conducted two weeks earlier, which also found Democratic challenger Dan Seals down by six points (44-38%).
That both GOP Rep. Mark Kirk's support and job approval fell under 50 percent is good news for Seals. He remains within striking distance and a big boost in Democratic turnout on Election Day could make all the difference. As we've reported, both SEIU and the Illinois Coalition for Refugee Rights have been doing a great deal of work in the district to register and turn out Democratic-leaning voters. Meanwhile, there still appear to be a considerable number of undecided Democrats and Independents up for grabs.
Seals' recent barrage of television advertising seems to have boosted his name-ID in the district. While 29 percent of respondents didn't recognize him in the Daily Kos poll, that figure was 16 percent in our survey.
The poll found that over a third of respondents were unaware of the constitutional convention question on this year's ballot. Of those who were aware, 21 percent favored holding a Con-Con and 45 percent opposed the idea. Furthermore, we found that Gov. Rod Blagojevich has a 10 percent favorability rating in the district.
More detail here.
