The SEIU poll we've been delving into over the past 48 hours also measured opinion among Chicagoans regarding both the 2010 gubernatorial contest and the Cook County board president race.
With regards to the governor's office, the survey tested a head-to-head match-up ...
With regards to the governor's office, the survey tested a head-to-head match-up between incumbent Pat Quinn and Attorney General Lisa Madigan and found she has twice as much support within the city limits. To put these numbers in some more context, Chicagoans made up 40 percent of those who cast ballots in the 2006 Democratic gubernatorial primary:
Notice that her support is highest in the African-American community. Quinn clearly has some work to do there.
The poll also asked about a three-way Democratic primary match-up between County Board President Todd Stroger and potential challengers Toni Preckwinkle and Forest Claypool. Remember these numbers are only for the city (which represents slighty more than half of the county's population):
The numbers here aren't terribly surprising (though keep in mind that the poll was conducted before the Dunnings/Cole scandal). Preckwinkle and Stroger are splitting the African-American vote and lagging way behind Claypool among whites. The survey didn't test second-choices, so it's hard to guage how either Stroger or Preckwinkle would fare in a head-to-head match-up against Claypool.
Meanwhile, the Latino community has the highest number of undecideds. Among those Latinos who do favor a candidate, however, the breakdown is pretty interesting. Both Claypool and Preckwinkle are in the low- to middle-teens, while Stroger has nearly three times as much support.
The telephone survey was commissioned by the SEIU Illinois State Council and conducted by Bennett, Petts, & Normington from March 23-25, 2009. The sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.3%.